The author identifies 68 indicators of terrorist activity and analyses each with a step-by-step explanation. He also outlines safeguards against 38 of the 42 co

Accompanying CD-ROM includes a web-based interface and "a 45-minute video that provides an executive summary of the forecasting methodology"--P. 1.

Occasional Paper No. 11. Provides a step-by-step description of a methodology to forecast terrorist attacks. Contains a CD-ROM which is a web-based interface th

Evaluates the macroeconomic impacts of the 9/11 attack on U.S. real GDP growth and the unemployment rate by examining how forecasts of these variables were revi

Terrorist groups throughout the world have been studied primarily through the use of social science methods. However, major advances in IT during the past decad