An Alternative Framework for Foreign Exchange Risk Management of Sovereign Debt

Download or read book An Alternative Framework for Foreign Exchange Risk Management of Sovereign Debt written by Martin Melecky and published by World Bank Publications. This book was released on 2008 with total page 33 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Abstract: This paper proposes a measure of synchronization in the movements of relevant domestic and foreign fundamentals for choosing suitable currency for denomination of foreign debt. The selection of explanatory variables for exchange rate volatility is motivated using a New Keynesian Policy model. The model predicts that not only traditional optimal currency area variables, but also variables considered by the literature on currency preferences, such as money velocity, should be relevant for explaining exchange rate volatility. The findings show that measures of inflation synchronization, money velocity synchronization, and interest rate synchronization can be useful indicators for decisions on the currency denomination of foreign debt.