Demographics, Pension Systems and the Saving-Investment Balance

Download or read book Demographics, Pension Systems and the Saving-Investment Balance written by Hua Chai and published by International Monetary Fund. This book was released on 2018-12-07 with total page 21 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: This paper studies the effect of demographic change on national saving, global interest rates, and international capital flows, focusing on the role of the public pension system. We develop a small open economy overlapping generations model to illustrate the channels through which demographic variables and pension system generosity interact to affect both private and public saving behavior. We then extend this framework to a two-country setting and simulate scenarios of demographic change and pension reform. We find that the generosity of the pension system plays an important role in determining the movement of the global interest rate and patterns of international capital flows.