Evaluation of Iceberg Calving Models Against Observations from Greenland Outlet Glaciers

Download or read book Evaluation of Iceberg Calving Models Against Observations from Greenland Outlet Glaciers written by Tristan O. Amaral and published by . This book was released on 2019 with total page 104 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: The retreat and advance of marine-terminating outlet glaciers in Greenland plays a critical role in modulating ice sheet mass balance. However, the frontal ablation processes that regulate glacier terminus position are challenging to observe and thus difficult to represent in numerical ice flow models. Current models of the Greenland Ice Sheet rely upon simple iceberg calving and submarine melt parameterization to prescribe either a stable terminus position or iceberg calving rate, yet the relative accuracies and uncertainties of these criteria remain largely unknown at the ice sheet scale. Here, we evaluate six iceberg calving models from the literature against spatially and temporally diverse observations and model output from 50 marine-terminating outlet glaciers in Greenland. Five of six calving models successfully reproduce observed May/June terminus conditions with zero median model bias and low ice-sheet-wide uncertainty using fixed, spatially-optimized parameter values. However, when evaluated against time series observations from select glaciers, we find that calving models that predict a calving rate struggle to reproduce variations in observed terminus dynamics over seasonal and inter-annual time scales with single, optimized model parameters. Comparatively, calving models that prescribe a terminus position, rather than a calving rate, more accurately account for observed changes in terminus dynamics through time and are therefore less likely to generate glacier length and/or ice flux errors when employed in predictive ice flow models. Overall, our results indicate that the crevasse depth calving model reproduces observed terminus dynamics with high fidelity and should be considered a leading candidate for use in models of the Greenland Ice Sheet.