Are U.S. Military Interventions Contagious Over Time?
Author | : Jennifer Kavanagh |
Publisher | : Rand Corporation |
Total Pages | : 100 |
Release | : 2013-05-09 |
ISBN-10 | : 9780833079039 |
ISBN-13 | : 0833079034 |
Rating | : 4/5 (39 Downloads) |
Download or read book Are U.S. Military Interventions Contagious Over Time? written by Jennifer Kavanagh and published by Rand Corporation. This book was released on 2013-05-09 with total page 100 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Current DoD force planning processes assume that U.S. military interventions are serially independent over time. This report challenges this assumption, arguing that interventions occur in temporally dependent clusters in which the likelihood of an intervention depends on interventions in the recent past. Integrating the concept of temporal dependence into DoD planning processes could help planners develop more appropriate force estimates.