Assessing Corporate Vulnerabilities in Indonesia

Download or read book Assessing Corporate Vulnerabilities in Indonesia written by Mr.Jorge A Chan-Lau and published by International Monetary Fund. This book was released on 2017-04-26 with total page 22 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Under adverse macroeconomic conditions, the potential realization of corporate sector vulnerabilities could pose major risks to the economy. This paper assesses corporate vulnerabilities in Indonesia by using a Bottom-Up Default Analysis (BuDA) approach, which allows projecting corporate probabilities of default (PDs) under different macroeconomic scenarios. In particular, a protracted recession and the ensuing currency depreciation could erode buffers on corporate balance sheets, pushing up the probabilities of default (PDs) in the corporate sector to the high levels observed during the Global Financial Crisis. While this is a low-probability scenario, the results suggest the need to closely monitor vulnerabilities and strengthen contingency plans.