The Monetary Model Strikes Back

Download or read book The Monetary Model Strikes Back written by Valerie Cerra and published by International Monetary Fund. This book was released on 2008-03 with total page 48 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: We revisit the dramatic failure of monetary models in explaining exchange rate movements. Using the information content from 98 countries, we find strong evidence for cointegration between nominal exchange rates and monetary fundamentals. We also find fundamentalsbased models very successful in beating a random walk in out-of-sample prediction.